Monday, June 27, 2011

Debt Hamstrings Recovery

Wall Street Journal
June 27, 2011

The Federal Reserve is just days away from ending one of the major steps to aid the U.S. economy—but the effort has done little to solve the original problem: The government and individuals alike are still heavily in debt.

Around the globe, the inability of governments and households to reduce their debt continues to cast a shadow over Western economies and the financial health of individuals. Today, U.S. consumers have more mortgage and credit-card debt than they did five years ago, and the U.S. budget deficit is worsening. At the same time, European governments are having to throw billions more euros at Greece to keep it afloat.

The repercussions are likely to play out for years to come in the form of patchy economic growth, further government market intervention—such as last week's decision by oil-consuming nations to release more oil onto the markets—and frequent financial-market swings.

The fundamental problem is that reversing the trend of piling on the debt requires some combination of cutting spending, growing income or the economy, and inflation. But wage growth is stagnant and home prices, which underpin much of the debt problem, are still falling.

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