Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Quick Guide to the Greece Rescue Deal

Wall Street Journal
February 21, 2012

OVERVIEW

Euro-zone finance ministers early Tuesday agreed to an ambitious €130 billion rescue deal that will see Greece’s private creditors take an even larger loss in order to put the debt-laden country on a sustainable footing and avert a catastrophic default. The market reaction was muted as several hurdles to a final agreement remain and many are still uncertain that Greece will be able to stick to the terms of the deal given that its economic situation is continuing to deteriorate.

THE DETAILS
  • Private-sector participation: Debt exchange calls for private investors to waive 53.5% of their principal under a massive debt swap that will cut Greece’s outstanding debt stock by EUR107 billion. That goes beyond a 50% haircut agreed at a summit in October.
  • Greek Debt: The deeper private-sector haircut will help bring Greece’s debt as a proportion of gross domestic product to 120.5% by 2020 from over 164% currently. That appears to satisfy the demands of the International Monetary Fund, which had insisted that the final targeted debt ratio be as close to 120% as possible in order for it to participate in the bailout.
  • ECB Holdings: The agreement spares the European Central Bank, as well as national central banks, from taking any losses on their holdings of Greek debt. Instead, the ECB will disperse any profits it makes on the portfolio of bonds it holds under its Securities Markets Program. National central banks in the euro zone will transfer to Greece any profits arising from those Greek bonds they hold as investments.
  • Rates: Greece’s official creditors agreed to reduce the interest rate payable on loans disbursed under the first Greek bailout program, approved in 2010, a move that could shave EUR1.4 billion off Greek debt.
  • Oversight: Greece had to agree to a permanent representation of official creditors in Athens overseeing a blocked account for receiving aid payments. This account will favor debt servicing and availability will be subject to Greek compliance with budget targets.
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