Friday, December 2, 2011

One problem, two visions (part I)

Economist
December 2, 2011

It seems odd, at first sight, to see the markets taking so much hope from two speeches in two days - one by France's President Nicolas Sarkozy and the other by Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel - that revealed more differences than agreement on how to resolve the euro zone's debt crisis.

Perhaps it is the fact that both say the European Union's treaties should be changed, and any agreement on any subject is good news. Or perhaps it is the hope that, whatever they say in their opening bids, they will come up with enough of a deal at the next European summit on December 8th-9th to allow the European Central Bank to deploy its “big bazooka”.

Then again, markets have often rallied ahead of summits in the expectation of an agreement, only to be disappointed within days, or even hours, of the latest half-step being announced.

Neither Mr Sarkozy nor Mrs Merkel offered any real detail of what should be included in a revision of the treaties. But even their vague outlines reveal contrasting philosophies. I give a fuller analysis of the speeches in the next post (here).

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Read Part II

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