Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Voting away your debts

Economist
November 1, 2011

So the home of democracy is going to have a vote on whether to accept the latest European debt deal. At one level, the idea of "voting away your debts" seems rather odd. But voters have every right to do so, as long as they accept the consequences. In his book Golden Fetters, Barry Eichengreen argued that one reason the gold standard failed to work after the First World War was that most states had become democracies; regular doses of austerity were needed to ensure sound money. But that was politically impossible once the working classes had the vote, especially as politicians were worried about the threat of communist revolution.

The problem of Greece is that public expenditure is higher than tax revenues, and the government cannot finance the gap in the markets. So the Greeks have four options.

1. Raise taxes. The population seems to be against that, with the property tax being particularly unpopular. The man on the Athens omnibus might well be in favour of raising taxes on the rich, or on companies, but it does not seem as if this strategy will be pursued with sufficient vigour, or will raise enough money.

2. Cut public spending. Public sector workers are against that option.

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