Monday, September 19, 2011

Greece: Is this the end game?

by Ben Rooney

CNN Money

September 19, 2011

Greece is quickly running out of the cash it needs to keep the lights on as the latest lifeline from the rest of Europe remains just out of reach.

Evangelos Venizelos, the Greek finance minister, discussed his country's plight with officials from the European Commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank during a conference call Monday.

In a statement, the Greek finance ministry said talks were "productive and substantive." Discussions are set to resume Tuesday with technical experts expected to provide additional details on certain unspecified issues.

A source told CNN that the officials were close to a deal but needed to reach a final agreement on remaining sticking points.

The call came on the same day that representatives from that so-called troika were originally scheduled to return to Athens to review Greece's progress on reforms needed to obtain its latest installment of emergency funding.

After abruptly leaving the country earlier this month, officials from the troika delayed a decision on whether to pay out the next portion of Greece's loan until October.

The fraught negotiations have revived fears that Greece could default on its debts in a disorganized way, something that investors and economists fear could ripple throughout the global financial system.

Greece is expected to run out of the cash it needs to fund all of its operations in about a month without more bailout money.

The country is due to receive an estimated €8 billion from a €110 billion rescue package the troika set up last year as Greece came to the brink of default.

"The timing of a Greek default remains in the hands of the troika and it is difficult to believe that they will decide to pull the plug at this stage because of the potential impact upon the other troubled sovereigns and the banking sector," Gary Jenkins, head of fixed-income at Evolution Securities in London, wrote in a note to clients. "That said, who knows what contingency plans they have prepared behind closed doors."

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