Thursday, March 17, 2011

Europe Needs to Apportion Pain

by Simon Nixon

Wall Street Journal

March 17, 2011

Liquidate, liquidate, liquidate was the mantra in the early stages of the Great Depression. During the current crisis, the mantra has been liquify, liquify, liquify. Policy makers have sought to avoid the mistakes of the 1930s by flooding the financial system with money to support asset prices, protect bank balance sheets and prevent deflation. But if debts incurred during the boom ultimately prove unsustainable, sooner or later the losses will crystallize.

Choosing who takes the pain is the problem dogging the euro zone as pressure mounts on Portugal to accept a bailout. Despite last weekend's deal to expand the size of Europe's emergency lending facilities and lower the interest cost on bailout loans, the market still believes a restructuring of Irish and Greek debt is inevitable. Greece's 10-year bonds yield 12.7%.

While providing liquidity to governments and banks, euro-zone policy makers have done nothing to address underlying concerns over solvency beyond demanding ever-tougher fiscal austerity and more bank deleveraging—both of which undermine growth prospects and make sustainability harder to achieve.

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