Friday, July 16, 2010

Greece's debt auction: An uneasy calm

Economist
July 15, 2010

Most people are not satisfied with mediocrity. But Greece’s auction of six-month treasury bills on July 13th turned inferiority into a cause for celebration. The beleaguered country managed to raise €1.6 billion ($2 billion) at a yield of 4.65% in its first venture into the markets since a €110 billion rescue package from the European Union and the IMF was secured in May.

That is hardly dazzling. The yield was still higher than when Greece issued similar paper in April, before the bail-out package was announced, and over three times what it was in January. Germany’s one-year bills yield ten times less than Greece’s six-month ones (see chart). Short-term bill auctions to roll over maturing debt are encouraged in the deal reached by Greece, the EU and the fund but the threat of an eventual debt restructuring makes investors unwilling to lend for long. Greece’s public-debt agency was forced to drop plans to auction 12-month bills. It is unlikely that Greece will attempt a sale of longer-term bonds before early 2012, and it may find few willing buyers even then because of the country’s increased debt burden.

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